Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 14.614845 16.454762 18.453602 20.789054 23.446349 26.379675 29.868479
2025-03-16 11.756883 14.169969 16.989144 20.536358 24.895173 30.095065 36.796434
2025-03-23 10.056232 12.875979 16.391051 21.119627 27.352194 35.338309 46.429879
2025-03-30 8.501109 11.490226 15.440225 21.086381 29.022325 39.886244 56.068490
2025-04-06 7.125966 10.110316 14.266563 20.544179 29.902539 43.520758 65.175215
2025-04-13 6.094552 9.037735 13.338279 20.172586 30.933665 47.515751 75.564631
2025-04-20 5.480684 8.474057 13.051746 20.688649 33.363701 54.010622 91.115081
2025-04-27 4.992465 8.024892 12.863663 21.313354 36.054243 61.372523 109.601683
2025-05-04 4.514722 7.519792 12.505943 21.588845 38.187485 68.148789 128.456989
2025-05-11 3.995197 6.870546 11.812387 21.166177 38.999331 72.691265 144.058309
2025-05-18 3.566766 6.319691 11.209811 20.806046 39.850732 77.431127 161.033944
2025-05-25 3.210511 5.850335 10.687595 20.510437 40.764488 82.431660 179.615503
2025-06-01 2.922372 5.478611 10.312777 20.477857 42.275349 89.086271 203.764873
2025-06-08 2.663194 5.129257 9.935169 20.384275 43.652598 95.745262 229.628519
2025-06-15 2.515529 4.979902 9.932299 21.075917 46.876805 107.189911 270.170474
2025-06-22 2.321762 4.712322 9.652393 21.122403 48.646404 115.606799 305.188525
2025-06-29 2.104386 4.368633 9.167770 20.633799 49.065075 120.821557 332.958991
2025-07-06 1.925296 4.084831 8.775566 20.298152 49.797808 126.980987 365.104066
2025-07-13 1.830515 3.974243 8.753222 20.844939 52.878728 140.001675 421.490368
2025-07-20 1.750316 3.886482 8.771153 21.494535 56.358647 154.892321 488.270196
2025-07-27 1.653738 3.749327 8.655688 21.786663 58.923817 167.748798 552.401631
2025-08-03 1.524496 3.520242 8.291127 21.369530 59.412411 174.551739 597.826739
2025-08-10 1.411267 3.317174 7.966313 21.012367 60.018849 181.881013 647.597425